鄭州路塔城街口維持兩段式左轉 - 機車
By Rachel
at 2020-11-19T21:49
at 2020-11-19T21:49
Table of Contents
關於這個議題,很多堅持兩段式左轉比較安全的,也很多堅持不兩段式比較安全的。雙方各有各的理論。
兩方都經常提出事故傷亡的數據變化來佐證。例如當年實施後事故驟升,或近年某些路段異動後的數據變化。
但這些理論都忽略了數據長期的變化趨勢,以至於忽略了真正的核心原因。
就以當年實施後事故傷亡上升這一點來看,確實數據上升了,但繼續看往後的數據會發現事故與傷亡都持續下降。
真正造成事故傷亡數據在短時間大幅增加的原因,其實是“用路人習慣”。
原本直接左轉的規則,突然實施兩段式,所有用路人,包括各種車輛及行人,都面臨突然改變的車輛動態預測習慣,因此事故增加。
反之,已經成為用路人習慣的一律兩段式,突然改成允許直接左轉,也會造成動態預測不良的事故。
舉個極端點的例子,網路影片中常看到東南亞大型路口完全沒有標線與號誌,交通卻順暢運作。如果明天立刻在台灣實行這種制度,可想而知全台灣交通事故數量都要大爆增,因為沒有人能突然習慣。
其他的例子也能說明習慣造成的影響,包括台灣人去美國開車,經常被開單或事故的原因在沒有確實遵守無號誌路口的STOP標誌停車。或是台灣人去日本開車,常見的事故是未正確判斷左側安全距離,以及轉彎駛進對向車道。
因此,不管是禁行、分流、轉彎...等等的規則改變,其實應該視現場環境逐步逐步慢慢調整,慢慢引導習慣,當然這可能要花很長時間,但千萬不能說改就改。
撇開特殊的設計失敗現場之外,在普遍規則上,所有用路人都能理解的習慣性做法,是比較能維持安全的。
突然改變的規則,將導致事故大增。
對於交通的各種理論都可以,但是千萬不要忘了習慣的改變需要時間,這個是非常重要的重點。
-----
Sent from JPTT on my HTC 2Q7A100.
--
兩方都經常提出事故傷亡的數據變化來佐證。例如當年實施後事故驟升,或近年某些路段異動後的數據變化。
但這些理論都忽略了數據長期的變化趨勢,以至於忽略了真正的核心原因。
就以當年實施後事故傷亡上升這一點來看,確實數據上升了,但繼續看往後的數據會發現事故與傷亡都持續下降。
真正造成事故傷亡數據在短時間大幅增加的原因,其實是“用路人習慣”。
原本直接左轉的規則,突然實施兩段式,所有用路人,包括各種車輛及行人,都面臨突然改變的車輛動態預測習慣,因此事故增加。
反之,已經成為用路人習慣的一律兩段式,突然改成允許直接左轉,也會造成動態預測不良的事故。
舉個極端點的例子,網路影片中常看到東南亞大型路口完全沒有標線與號誌,交通卻順暢運作。如果明天立刻在台灣實行這種制度,可想而知全台灣交通事故數量都要大爆增,因為沒有人能突然習慣。
其他的例子也能說明習慣造成的影響,包括台灣人去美國開車,經常被開單或事故的原因在沒有確實遵守無號誌路口的STOP標誌停車。或是台灣人去日本開車,常見的事故是未正確判斷左側安全距離,以及轉彎駛進對向車道。
因此,不管是禁行、分流、轉彎...等等的規則改變,其實應該視現場環境逐步逐步慢慢調整,慢慢引導習慣,當然這可能要花很長時間,但千萬不能說改就改。
撇開特殊的設計失敗現場之外,在普遍規則上,所有用路人都能理解的習慣性做法,是比較能維持安全的。
突然改變的規則,將導致事故大增。
對於交通的各種理論都可以,但是千萬不要忘了習慣的改變需要時間,這個是非常重要的重點。
-----
Sent from JPTT on my HTC 2Q7A100.
--
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