11月油價漲0.6~0.7元 - 機車
By Hedda
at 2007-10-25T11:17
at 2007-10-25T11:17
Table of Contents
照例po個報導讓大家有心理準備囉
這個月一開始油價持續上攻 因為各地產油國家戰亂 沙烏地好像又決定出兵等等
導致到月中時期 西德州原油竟然曾經上攻破到90美元
加上前幾週美國能源庫存下降 偶而又有颶風的干擾
使得油價一直維持在高檔 幸好上週能源庫存首度出現增加的情形 戰亂問題得到解決
加上OPEC終於決定11月開始增產 而且連帶的 更將10月份的日產量再增加
使得油價終於出現大幅回落的情形 曾經跌破85美元的關卡
不過昨天晚上美國的能源庫存再次下降 激勵了油價走高
預估接下來一周應該是多空力道拉鋸的局面
一方面 OPEC增產能有效的穩定抑制價格飆漲 下週的庫存估計或許可能微幅增加
加上整體經濟成長力道如果不如預期 可能減少用油需求而讓價格下跌
另一方面 目前還是有颶風的氣象因素干擾 加上FED假若為了維持經濟成長降息
所導致美元貶值的話 基於價格風險規避心態 也可能炒作油價高升
因此 總結計算結果 估計下週油價會漲0.6~0.7元左右
--
這個月一開始油價持續上攻 因為各地產油國家戰亂 沙烏地好像又決定出兵等等
導致到月中時期 西德州原油竟然曾經上攻破到90美元
加上前幾週美國能源庫存下降 偶而又有颶風的干擾
使得油價一直維持在高檔 幸好上週能源庫存首度出現增加的情形 戰亂問題得到解決
加上OPEC終於決定11月開始增產 而且連帶的 更將10月份的日產量再增加
使得油價終於出現大幅回落的情形 曾經跌破85美元的關卡
不過昨天晚上美國的能源庫存再次下降 激勵了油價走高
預估接下來一周應該是多空力道拉鋸的局面
一方面 OPEC增產能有效的穩定抑制價格飆漲 下週的庫存估計或許可能微幅增加
加上整體經濟成長力道如果不如預期 可能減少用油需求而讓價格下跌
另一方面 目前還是有颶風的氣象因素干擾 加上FED假若為了維持經濟成長降息
所導致美元貶值的話 基於價格風險規避心態 也可能炒作油價高升
因此 總結計算結果 估計下週油價會漲0.6~0.7元左右
--
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